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Rise in CMBS Distress Rate for Top 20 SMSAs

Rise in CMBS Distress Rate for Top 20 SMSAs

In August, the CMBS distress rate across the 20 largest markets was 7.2%, slightly higher than the national CMBS 2.0 rate of 6.8%. According to Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA), this figure – which covers both delinquent and specially serviced loans – rose from 4.5% nationally in June 2022.

Seven MSAs had a distress rate above 10%, with Chicago topping out at 22.7%. Denver, Philadelphia, San Francisco and Houston followed close behind while seven other markets had rates lower than 2% (Orlando, San Jose, Phoenix, Miami Boston Seattle and San Diego). All but one MSA experienced an increase in office distress rates during August; however lodging rates decreased in 16 of 20 markets while retail multifamily and mixed-use assets showed varied performance across all twenty locations with only three having distressed industrial loans (New York City Chicago & Philadelphia). The highest levels of property type related distress were found in New York for Retail (17%), Denver for Office(40%) Houston for Mixed Use(75%) &San Francisco Lodging/Multifamily respectively at 59&22 percent .

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