Manufacturing Investment Reaccelerates as U.S. Onshoring Momentum Builds

Manufacturing Investment, By the Numbers
CRE Market Beat Take
Robust manufacturing commitments are colliding with capital constraints, making sponsor liquidity and full-cycle funding plans critical underwriting variables for industrial investors.

New analysis from Newmark indicates that U.S. manufacturing investment remains robust even as the sector navigates a more complex economic and policy environment. In its report “Manufacturing Momentum: Five Years In—Progress, Pressures and New Priorities,” the firm notes that the pace of investment peaked in 2022, then slowed, and is now showing signs of reacceleration. The most recent year covered in the report was the most active period for manufacturing investment in three years.

Since 2020, Newmark tracks announcements for more than 500 major manufacturing projects nationwide. Collectively, those commitments total approximately $772 billion in planned investment. The pipeline is also jobs-intensive, with an estimated 400,000 new positions pledged alongside these projects. On the real estate side, the report points to at least 350 million square feet of new manufacturing inventory tied to these announcements, underscoring the sector’s importance as a demand driver for industrial facilities.

The research highlights that the composition of manufacturing investment is shifting. High-tech and digitalization-related manufacturing, as well as biomanufacturing, have increased their share of announced capital. Expansion in high-tech is being propelled by robotics and defense-related growth. In contrast, automotive manufacturing investment has pulled back, with Newmark attributing the decline to softer consumer demand and changing federal and local legislation and incentives.

Regionally, the report describes a mixed operating backdrop. Manufacturing investment accelerated in some locations even as the broader sector contended with policy uncertainty and weaker external demand in 2025. Higher input costs and softer demand contributed to a reduction in U.S. manufacturing employment overall. Between the second quarter of 2024 and the second quarter of 2025, the country shed about 151,000 manufacturing jobs.

The impact was not uniform, however. Newmark notes that regions with significant project activity have been able to offset some of the broader headwinds. Texas, identified as having the highest number of project announcements, added roughly 10,000 manufacturing jobs over the same period. The report also cites Phoenix, Columbus, Indianapolis and Savannah as examples of markets with at least 10 major announced projects, singling out Hyundai’s Metaplant as a particularly visible driver in Savannah.

Despite the generally positive trajectory, Newmark characterizes the sector as being in a “maelstrom moment,” influenced by multiple constraints and crosscurrents. The analysts point to ongoing geopolitical tensions, rapid technological change in key industries, evolving technology policy, and limits on power and labor availability as meaningful challenges. Tariffs and broader trade frictions continue to weigh on supply chains even as the U.S. government moves to support the sector by easing some regulatory barriers, negotiating agreements with mineral-rich allies, and allocating $7.5 billion to critical mineral investments.

The report stresses that capital availability is a central risk. Newmark calls for greater liquidity across the manufacturing value chain and notes that roughly $50 billion in major projects have been cancelled over the past five years, with financial pressure identified as the core issue. The authors conclude that financial viability and access to capital are now as important to site selection as fundamentals such as power availability and labor, suggesting that project execution increasingly hinges on the durability of the capital stack as much as on operational considerations.

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